Anatomy of State Failure Case Studies in Zaïre, Afghanistan and Yugoslavia
نویسنده
چکیده
i List of Illustrations iv List of Abbreviations v Introduction The Puzzle of State Failure 1 Posing the Problem 1 Available Answers 2 The Argument in Brief 4 The Organisation of the Thesis 5 Chapter One A Model for Understanding State Failure 7 The Conceptual and Analytical Challenge of Failed States 7 Conceptualising the Failed State 8 Existing Explanations for State Failure 11 Modelling State Failure: The State-Breaking Mechanism 16 Methodology and Case Selection 22 Chapter Two State Failure in Zaïre 1965-1997: The ‘Capital-Intensive’ Trajectory and the Hollowing Out of a State 25 The History of Zaïrian State Failure 25 Understanding State Failure in Zaïre 26 I. Flawed Political Structure: Neopatrimonialism, the ‘Cannibalisation’ of the State and the Erosion of the Armed Forces (Part I) 28 II. Economic Crises: The Decline in State Capital and the Erosion of the Armed Forces (Part II) 31 III. Systemic Pressures: The End of the Cold War, Regional Security and the Shift in the Internal Balance of Power. 34 IV. Loss of State Legitimacy: The Origins of Insurgency and the Conditions for State Failure 37 Conclusion 39 Chapter Three State Failure in Afghanistan 1978-1992: The ‘Coercion-Intensive’ Trajectory and the Fragmentation of a State 41 The History of Afghan State Failure 41 Understanding State failure in Afghanistan 42 I. Flawed Political Structure: The Imposed State, a Strong Society and the Origins of Fragmentation 44 II. Loss of State Legitimacy: The Origins of Revolution and the Disintegration of Coercive Power 46 III. Systemic Pressures: The Rise and Fall of the Cold War and the Fragmentation of Coercive Power 48
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